Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.126466e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077
2025-03-16 2.328656e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000076 0.000092
2025-03-23 1.821205e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106
2025-03-30 1.439251e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000048 0.000067 0.000090 0.000119
2025-04-06 1.116762e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000129
2025-04-13 8.296755e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000066 0.000095 0.000134
2025-04-20 6.457499e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000066 0.000098 0.000143
2025-04-27 5.321956e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000068 0.000104 0.000154
2025-05-04 4.457785e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000110 0.000165
2025-05-11 4.122635e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000076 0.000120 0.000183
2025-05-18 3.480515e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000044 0.000078 0.000126 0.000195
2025-05-25 2.615080e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000077 0.000126 0.000200
2025-06-01 1.910966e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000041 0.000077 0.000130 0.000210
2025-06-08 1.391097e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000078 0.000134 0.000221
2025-06-15 1.029713e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000234
2025-06-22 7.349866e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000039 0.000080 0.000145 0.000246
2025-06-29 4.782502e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000080 0.000147 0.000255
2025-07-06 2.643743e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000077 0.000146 0.000258
2025-07-13 1.540324e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000149 0.000266
2025-07-20 9.950115e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000078 0.000154 0.000280
2025-07-27 6.429865e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000080 0.000161 0.000294
2025-08-03 5.507308e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000086 0.000173 0.000318
2025-08-10 3.377319e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000088 0.000180 0.000334